Arandina 2-2 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.0pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arandina EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.98/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.01
-23% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arandina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 3-2 HT 1-2 Arandina Arandina İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arandina
2-2
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arandina vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arandina and RC Deportivo Fabril couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Arandina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arandina had 58% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 42%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Arandina vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Arandina 2-2 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arandina vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arandina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arandina 44%, draw 27%, RC Deportivo Fabril 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arandina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arandina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Real Oviedo II vs Langreo Analysis →
18:00 Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica Torrelavega Analysis →
18:00 Llerenense vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
18:30 Ciudad Real vs Cadiz II Analysis →
19:00 Coruxo vs Guijuelo Analysis →
19:00 Athletic Bilbao II vs Izarra Analysis →