Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.70/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.10
+35% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 0-3 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
12.03.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
23.10.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-1
AWAY Gimnastica Torrelavega
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica Torrelavega
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria edged past Gimnastica Torrelavega 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Cantabria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 44% of the ball to Gimnastica Torrelavega's 56%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnastica Torrelavega led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for Gimnastica Torrelavega.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Gimnastica Torrelavega?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 49%, draw 24%, Gimnastica Torrelavega 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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