Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.59/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.04
+30% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Izarra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Izarra Izarra 0-1 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
01.12.2019 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 3-3 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY Izarra
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II nicked a narrow win over Izarra 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 67% of the ball to Izarra's 33%, shots finished 17-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.50 for Izarra.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Izarra?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 64%, draw 21%, Izarra 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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