Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-3 HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
8%
8.88
X/2
17%
4.18
X/X
13%
5.42
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.27
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.32/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.73
-29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.4 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
276 Passes 312
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.03.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
19.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
26.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
27.02.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.09.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
13.02.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-3
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.92 xG 2.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
289 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf ran out comfortable winners over Jahn Regensburg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 48% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.92 to 2.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.67 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Jahn Regensburg 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 24%, draw 23%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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