Kaiserslautern 3-0 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

Kaiserslautern
3-0 HT 1-0
Paderborn
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.72
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
16%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
23.15
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.66
X/2
17%
5.27
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
17%
2.99
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.60/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.34
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.2 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Paderborn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
244 Passes 444
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
25.08.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
17.02.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
12.08.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
12.02.2016 Paderborn Paderborn 0-4 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
24.08.2015 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2

Kaiserslautern 3-0 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
3-0
AWAY Paderborn
1.98 xG 1.59
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
204 Passes 434
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern cruised past Paderborn 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 35% of the ball to Paderborn's 65%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaiserslautern and 0.83 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?

Kaiserslautern 3-0 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 30%, draw 24%, Paderborn 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Paderborn), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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