Hannover 96 1-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.34
X/2
10%
8.28
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.3
2/2
11%
5.89
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -24%
1.88/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.88
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.0 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Schalke 04
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 283
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
28.10.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-2 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
19.03.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
15.10.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
31.03.2019 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
03.11.2018 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-0
AWAY Schalke 04
0.86 xG 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
329 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Schalke 04 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 48% of the ball to Schalke 04's 52%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.86 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.83 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04?

Hannover 96 1-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 51%, draw 23%, Schalke 04 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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