Kickers Emden 1-2 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.23
Over Pick
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
37%
4-5
31%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse The Market 37%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.81
+85% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Havelse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2022 Havelse Havelse 1-1 HT 1-1 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-3 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse squeezed past Kickers Emden 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kickers Emden at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kickers Emden and 2.00 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Havelse?

Kickers Emden 1-2 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 43%, draw 24%, Havelse 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Emden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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