19/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Meppen vs Teutonia Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
58%
25%
Draw
21%
24%
Away Win
21%
34%
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 2.5
66%
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
44%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Meppen v Teutonia Hamburg — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Meppen
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Teutonia Hamburg
The Market 25%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+19% /
+19%
2.58/0.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.74/1.77
+20%
/
+45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+55%
/
+5%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
394 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
385 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
Meppen vs Teutonia Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Meppen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Teutonia Hamburg
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
37%
Ball Possession
63%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
19.11.2023
Teutonia Hamburg
0-3
HT 0-1
Meppen
ALMBÖL
0-3
HT 0-1
Meppen
ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH
Meppen vs Teutonia Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Meppen ran out comfortable winners over Teutonia Hamburg 4-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Meppen vs Teutonia Hamburg?
Meppen 4-0 Teutonia Hamburg in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Meppen vs Teutonia Hamburg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Meppen 51%, draw 25%, Teutonia Hamburg 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Meppen)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
More Germany - Regional League
19 Oct 2024