Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1 Wiedenbrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.38
Over Pick
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
2.03/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.64
+3% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wiedenbrück
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 5-1 HT 3-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
18.12.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-2 HT 1-1 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
21.08.2021 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Wiedenbrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen saw off Wiedenbrück 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wiedenbrück led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.83 for Wiedenbrück.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Wiedenbrück?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1 Wiedenbrück in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Wiedenbrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 50%, draw 24%, Wiedenbrück 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Werder Bremen II vs Bremer SV Analysis →
00:00 Gütersloh vs Rödinghausen Analysis →
00:00 Mönchengladbach II vs Uerdingen Analysis →
00:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Fortuna Köln Analysis →
00:00 Vilzing vs Eintracht Bamberg Analysis →
00:00 Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München Analysis →