Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 FC Bocholt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
1.99/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.93
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs FC Bocholt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte swept aside FC Bocholt 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs FC Bocholt?

Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 FC Bocholt in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs FC Bocholt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 43%, draw 23%, FC Bocholt 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Werder Bremen II vs Bremer SV Analysis →
00:00 Gütersloh vs Rödinghausen Analysis →
00:00 Mönchengladbach II vs Uerdingen Analysis →
00:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Fortuna Köln Analysis →
00:00 Vilzing vs Eintracht Bamberg Analysis →
00:00 Nürnberg II vs Türkgücü München Analysis →