Villingen 3-2 Kickers Offenbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villingen EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kickers Offenbach EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -10%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Villingen vs Kickers Offenbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villingen edged past Kickers Offenbach 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kickers Offenbach at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Villingen vs Kickers Offenbach?

Villingen 3-2 Kickers Offenbach in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villingen vs Kickers Offenbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kickers Offenbach win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Villingen 21%, draw 24%, Kickers Offenbach 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kickers Offenbach), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Offenbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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