Racing Club 4-3 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Racing Club
4-3 HT 3-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
12%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
19%
3.8
X/2
9%
10.25
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
11%
8.44
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.53
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.4 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.98 xG 1.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
393 Passes 230
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
02.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
06.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-3 HT 2-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.02.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
30.10.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Racing Club 4-3 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
4-3
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
250 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club edged past Defensa y Justicia 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Racing Club had 44% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 56%, shots finished 15-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club and 1.83 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia?

Racing Club 4-3 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 50%, draw 25%, Defensa y Justicia 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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