Smorgon 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 34%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.86/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
+54% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-2 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
06.10.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
21.05.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 1-3 HT 1-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
15.08.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 2-2 HT 2-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
11.04.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
2-0
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon got the better of Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Smorgon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Smorgon had 49% of the ball to Shakhtyor Soligorsk's 51%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smorgon and 2.40 for Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Smorgon 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 42%, draw 24%, Shakhtyor Soligorsk 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Smorgon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Smorgon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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