Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.7pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.43/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.25
-61% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
0W-1D-3L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 3-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
07.10.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
07.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Levski Sofia and 2.00 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 46%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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