Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 24%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
-73% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 2-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
27.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
29.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1-0
AWAY Slavia Sofia
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv edged past Slavia Sofia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 56% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 44%, shots finished 5-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.33 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 46%, draw 24%, Slavia Sofia 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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