Slavia Sofia 3-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-19.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 18%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.83/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.07
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-1 HT 3-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
29.05.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
13.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
24.04.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
3-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia saw off Botev Plovdiv 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 44% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 56%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slavia Sofia and 0.83 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Slavia Sofia 3-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 44%, draw 29%, Botev Plovdiv 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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