Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 33%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.77/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
-37% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
25.02.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-2 HT 2-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
27.01.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 6-0 HT 3-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
10.12.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
07.12.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 HT 0-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
11.09.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 2-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1-1
AWAY Guastatoya
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacapa Tellioz and Guastatoya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Zacapa Tellioz had 54% of the ball to Guastatoya's 46%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 2.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya?

Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 40%, draw 29%, Guastatoya 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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