BVV Barendrecht 5-3 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.22
+42% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
5-3
AWAY Jong Sparta
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht saw off Jong Sparta 5-3. Half-time: 4-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BVV Barendrecht as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 57% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 43%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta?

BVV Barendrecht 5-3 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 46%, draw 26%, Jong Sparta 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BVV Barendrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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