ACV 3-3 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.78/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.44
-46% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.02.2024 ACV 1-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
3-3
AWAY Jong Almere City
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ACV vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV and Jong Almere City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ACV had 55% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 45%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of ACV vs Jong Almere City?

ACV 3-3 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ACV 39%, draw 29%, Jong Almere City 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ACV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ACV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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