Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-2.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
61%
Away Win
57%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 62%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.00/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.32
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / -62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY GVVV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.41 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
255 Passes 384
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 0-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
26.01.2019 GVVV GVVV 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-1
AWAY GVVV
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV edged past Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GVVV as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 42% of the ball to GVVV's 58%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Excelsior Maassluis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 0.00 for GVVV.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated an GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 18%, draw 21%, GVVV 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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