Eik Toensberg 3-1 Orn Horten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.51
Over Pick
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.51
2-3
39%
2.01
4-5
27%
2.65
6+
12%
6.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eik Toensberg The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Orn Horten The Market 22%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.97/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.99
-11% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eik Toensberg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orn Horten
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Orn Horten Orn Horten 3-2 HT 1-2 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eik Toensberg
3-1
AWAY Orn Horten
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Eik Toensberg vs Orn Horten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eik Toensberg got the better of Orn Horten 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eik Toensberg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eik Toensberg had 42% of the ball to Orn Horten's 58%, shots finished 16-14.

What was the final score of Eik Toensberg vs Orn Horten?

Eik Toensberg 3-1 Orn Horten in the Norway - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eik Toensberg vs Orn Horten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Eik Toensberg 55%, draw 23%, Orn Horten 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eik Toensberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eik Toensberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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