Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.14/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.21
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 Passes 159
68% Pass Accuracy 53%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
18.05.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
26.02.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
15.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PARK
25.09.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-3 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
08.07.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Trinidense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Sportivo Ameliano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 47% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 53%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 2.00 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 36%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →