Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.38
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.91
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
17.1
X/1
10%
8.88
X/2
20%
3.73
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.39
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 56%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.98
-100% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
28.0 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.53 xG 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
271 Passes 361
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Makhachkala had 46% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 54%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.53 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova?

Makhachkala 0-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 28%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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