Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-1 HT 0-0
Rostov
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.39
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
8.24
X/2
20%
4.11
X/X
12%
4.84
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.42
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · X/1 at 8.24 — our 13% vs market 8.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.21/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.08
+28% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.0 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rostov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.26
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
197 Passes 397
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod HAZ
26.11.2023 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
26.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.03.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 HT 1-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
02.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-2 HT 1-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod and Rostov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.33 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 28%, draw 27%, Rostov 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rostov), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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