Khimki 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.64
1/2 EV+
11%
21.05
1/X
4%
13.85
X/1
6%
8.38
X/2
13%
4.45
X/X
11%
5.75
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.36
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 55%
+13% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
0.99/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.33
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
14.1 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.92 xG 2.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-5 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
28.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 4-0 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
30.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
18.10.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
28.09.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-5 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
20.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
2-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 11
201 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khimki had 37% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 63%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Khimki and 3.83 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Khimki 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Khimki 27%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Moscow 52%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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