Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
3-0
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
2-2
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
2-1
HT 2-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 1-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United and BG Pathum United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Muang Thong United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 49% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 51%, shots finished 13-12.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, BG Pathum United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Muang Thong United and 1.75 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United?
Muang Thong United 1-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 45%, draw 28%, BG Pathum United 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 went the other way.