Nakhon Ratchasima 2-3 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 66%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.86/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.37
-31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.6 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
154 Passes 413
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
20.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 3-2 HT 0-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
07.11.2021 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 3-1 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
2-3
AWAY Thai Port FC
33% Ball Possession 67%
16 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC edged past Nakhon Ratchasima 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 33% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 67%, shots finished 16-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.00 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Thai Port FC?

Nakhon Ratchasima 2-3 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 21%, draw 24%, Thai Port FC 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd Analysis →
17:00 Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United Analysis →