Lamphun Warrior 0-1 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.7pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.55
+6% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
16.5 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.36 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
169 Passes 250
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-3 HT 0-3 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
12.11.2022 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 1-1 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0-1
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khonkaen Utd squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lamphun Warrior at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 66% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 34%, shots finished 20-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Khonkaen Utd led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 2.00 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd?

Lamphun Warrior 0-1 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamphun Warrior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 55%, draw 26%, Khonkaen Utd 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lamphun Warrior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Nakhon Ratchasima vs Thai Port FC Analysis →
17:00 Muang Thong United vs BG Pathum United Analysis →