Hogaborgs BK 1-2 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.35
No
35%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.2pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
70%
-5.3pp
35%
BTTS No
30%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 34%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
2.18/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.61
+12% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
346 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
18.04.2025 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 2-2 HT 0-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
15.09.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-2 HT 1-2 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
20.05.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-1 HT 0-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg nicked a narrow win over Hogaborgs BK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; IFK Trelleborg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hogaborgs BK and 2.33 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg?

Hogaborgs BK 1-2 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 39%, draw 32%, IFK Trelleborg 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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