Hammarby 2-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Oct 2025

Hammarby
2-1 HT 1-0
AIK
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.84
No
52%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.27
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
23%
3.7
6+
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.22
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
21%
4.16
X/2
6%
9.42
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
8%
7.73
2/X
7%
16.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK The Market 23%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
1.89/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.33
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.7 Crosses 19.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AIK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
395 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
29.09.2024 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
19.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
03.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 4-2 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
16.04.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
13.03.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-1
AWAY AIK
1.15 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
480 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Hammarby vs AIK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hammarby squeezed past AIK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.84, about 54%.

By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Hammarby's favour, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.15 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hammarby against 1.17 for AIK.

Hammarby vs AIK Result & Final Score

Hammarby 2-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hammarby vs AIK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 56%, draw 23%, AIK 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
19 Oct 2025
15:00 GAIS vs Djurgarden Analysis →
17:30 IFK Varnamo vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →
17:30 Elfsborg vs Östers Analysis →