Lugano II 1-1 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois EU Bookmakers 54%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.25/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.29
-25% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bavois
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
12.04.2025 Lugano II Lugano II 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
23.03.2024 Bavois 3-1 HT 3-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
16.09.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 2-1 HT 2-1 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
1-1
AWAY Bavois
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Bavois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano II and Bavois shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bavois at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Lugano II had 45% of the ball to Bavois's 55%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lugano II and 1.33 for Bavois.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Bavois?

Lugano II 1-1 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Bavois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 30%, draw 18%, Bavois 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bavois), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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