Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanzaro v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Catanzaro
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Padova Calcio
İTCK
1-1
HT 1-1
Catanzaro
İTCK
Catanzaro 0-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio edged past Catanzaro 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Padova Calcio made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Catanzaro had 57% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 43%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.82 to 1.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Catanzaro.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Catanzaro and 1.00 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio?
Catanzaro 0-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 38%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catanzaro), BTTS Yes went the other way.