Empoli 1-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.46
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.11
X/2
12%
5.36
X/X
16%
3.93
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.64
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.20/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.24
-9% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.9 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Venezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
360 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
04.01.2025 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.01.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
11.09.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
26.02.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.11.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Venezia
1.26 xG 1.37
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
162 Passes 488
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Venezia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Empoli had 31% of the ball to Venezia's 69%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.26 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 1.50 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Venezia?

Empoli 1-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Empoli 35%, draw 30%, Venezia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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