Empoli 2-2 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.29
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.01
X/2
13%
6.92
X/X
9%
3.66
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
14%
5.46
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.56
-22% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.4 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Venezia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.01.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
11.09.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
26.02.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.11.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
31.10.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
2-2
AWAY Venezia
1.16 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
214 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Venezia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli had 46% of the ball to Venezia's 54%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Empoli and 1.50 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Venezia?

Empoli 2-2 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Empoli 37%, draw 29%, Venezia 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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