Bologna 1-0 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.07
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
12%
6.88
X/2
10%
5.2
X/X
17%
4.06
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
3.26
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.09/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.20
+19% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.5 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inter
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
402 Passes 455
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
09.03.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
20.12.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
07.10.2023 Inter Inter 2-2 HT 2-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
26.02.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
09.11.2022 Inter Inter 6-1 HT 3-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1-0
AWAY Inter
0.82 xG 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna edged past Inter 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bologna had 48% of the ball to Inter's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.82 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bologna and 2.00 for Inter.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Inter?

Bologna 1-0 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bologna 30%, draw 29%, Inter 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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