Sevilla (K) 1-3 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.1pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.17/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.10
+25% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
16.6 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
262 Passes 292
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.11.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
03.02.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 3-3 HT 2-0 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
1-3
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.47 xG 3.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
177 Passes 338
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) saw off Sevilla (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Madrid CFF (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 38% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 62%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.47 to 3.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sevilla (K) and 2.00 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Sevilla (K) 1-3 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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