PSM Makassar 1-2 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.57
-17% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 253
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
15.09.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
04.02.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
20.08.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
30.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-0 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
05.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arema Malang squeezed past PSM Makassar 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.67 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang?

PSM Makassar 1-2 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 45%, draw 24%, Arema Malang 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
19 Oct 2025
15:00 Persijap Jepara vs Bali United Analysis →