Hwaseong 2-3 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
2.88
6+ Goals
9%
8.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 30% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 59%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.20
-43% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.6 Crosses 22.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.08.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
19.04.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
02.10.2019 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
18.09.2019 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
2-3
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
389 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings squeezed past Hwaseong 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hwaseong had 53% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 47%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hwaseong and 1.25 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings?

Hwaseong 2-3 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 28%, draw 24%, Suwon Bluewings 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5
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