Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.73
+13% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.3 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
305 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
12.04.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
05.10.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-0 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
06.07.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-3 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.09.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-0
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
480 Passes 174
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa edged past Gimpo Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Asan Mugunghwa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 70% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 30%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.67 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 40%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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