Telstar 2-3 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.14
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1
11%
6.68
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
5.58
X/X
13%
5.39
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.1
Value flag · X/2 at 5.58 — our 19% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.67/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.40
+47% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
21.9 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.07.2025 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2-3
AWAY Heerenveen
2.58 xG 2.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
246 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 43
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen squeezed past Telstar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Heerenveen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 46% of the ball to Heerenveen's 54%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.58 to 2.69.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Heerenveen?

Telstar 2-3 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Telstar 34%, draw 26%, Heerenveen 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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