Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.47/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
-1% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +73%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.9 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.80 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
09.11.2024 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
28.05.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-5 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.09.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.05.2022 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
17.10.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
0-2
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.22 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam beat Groningen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Groningen had 61% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 39%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.22 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Groningen and 1.83 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Groningen 54%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Groningen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Groningen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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