Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
3-0
HT 0-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL
4-1
HT 2-0
Excelsior
HOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior squeezed past Fortuna Sittard 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Excelsior had 50% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 50%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.06 to 1.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Excelsior and 2.17 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard?
Excelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 45%, draw 25%, Fortuna Sittard 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.