Genesis PN vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genesis PN v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Genesis PN vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Marathon
HON
1-1
HT 1-0
Genesis PN
HON
Marathon
HON
1-0
HT 1-0
Genesis PN
HON
Marathon
HON
Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genesis PN and 1.33 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Marathon?
Genesis PN 0-3 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 16%, draw 27%, Marathon 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.