Marathon 1-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 10 Aug 2025

Marathon
1-0 HT 1-0
Genesis PN
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Marathon vs Genesis PN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marathon v Genesis PN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.85/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.58
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Marathon vs Genesis PN Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
18.02.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
24.11.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
19.09.2024 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
12.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
09.05.2024 Genesis PN 0-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
01.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Marathon 1-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Marathon 60%, draw 21%, Genesis PN 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
10 Aug 2025
02:15 Atletico Choloma vs Real Espana Analysis →
04:30 Olancho vs Motagua Analysis →