Olancho 3-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.16
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Motagua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
26.01.2025 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
25.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
11.03.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
22.01.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 0-2 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho saw off Motagua 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Olancho made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Motagua?

Olancho 3-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olancho 39%, draw 27%, Motagua 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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