Marathon 1-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
2.13/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.22
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
19.09.2024 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
12.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
09.05.2024 Genesis PN 0-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
01.04.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
02.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
05.11.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and Genesis PN shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 0.33 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Marathon 1-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Marathon 52%, draw 26%, Genesis PN 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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