Lobos UPNFM 2-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.63/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.90
+19% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
19.09.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
01.02.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
01.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.01.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM nicked a narrow win over CD Real Sociedad 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Lobos UPNFM made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 0.83 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Real Sociedad?

Lobos UPNFM 2-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 37%, draw 29%, CD Real Sociedad 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Under 2.5
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
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