Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Navad Urmia FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.33
Over 2.5
37%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
12%
8.09
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
72%
-8.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
28%
+8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.1pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.71/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.00
-35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ario Eslamshahr vs Navad Urmia FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ario Eslamshahr edged past Navad Urmia FC 1-0. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 25% — and on the day Ario Eslamshahr made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Ario Eslamshahr vs Navad Urmia FC?

Ario Eslamshahr 1-0 Navad Urmia FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ario Eslamshahr vs Navad Urmia FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ario Eslamshahr 39%, draw 37%, Navad Urmia FC 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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