Mes Soongoun 1-0 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.4
No
75%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
52%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
28%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
28%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.9pp
25%
BTTS Yes
38%
-12.4pp
75%
BTTS No
62%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.84/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.47
-4% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sanat Naft
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.03.2025 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRANAZ
16.10.2024 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 2-2 HT 2-1 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun edged past Sanat Naft 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanat Naft at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (75%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mes Soongoun had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mes Soongoun and 1.00 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft?

Mes Soongoun 1-0 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Azadegan League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanat Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 23%, draw 31%, Sanat Naft 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanat Naft) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanat Naft) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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