Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.05
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.58
6+ Goals
11%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.9pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.0pp
12%
Away Win
15%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.6pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 18%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.19
+34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Mes Kerman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
14.02.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-1 HT 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
05.09.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 2-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRAN
19.04.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANK
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran nicked a narrow win over Mes Kerman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nassaji Mazandaran as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nassaji Mazandaran had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.67 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman?

Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 54%, draw 34%, Mes Kerman 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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